Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000932 1.070559e-03 0.001212 0.001365 0.001525 0.001689 0.001867
2025-06-29 0.000725 9.226856e-04 0.001131 0.001365 0.001617 0.001880 0.002172
2025-07-06 0.000627 8.747056e-04 0.001145 0.001455 0.001797 0.002159 0.002567
2025-07-13 0.000474 7.475665e-04 0.001059 0.001427 0.001841 0.002287 0.002796
2025-07-20 0.000334 6.165617e-04 0.000955 0.001368 0.001844 0.002365 0.002966
2025-07-27 0.000267 5.654868e-04 0.000938 0.001405 0.001950 0.002552 0.003254
2025-08-03 0.000190 4.891709e-04 0.000883 0.001390 0.001994 0.002668 0.003460
2025-08-10 0.000106 3.835242e-04 0.000781 0.001312 0.001957 0.002688 0.003555
2025-08-17 0.000057 3.165218e-04 0.000721 0.001280 0.001971 0.002763 0.003710
2025-08-24 0.000015 2.332439e-04 0.000628 0.001199 0.001922 0.002762 0.003774
2025-08-31 0.000002 1.909693e-04 0.000589 0.001184 0.001950 0.002847 0.003936
2025-09-07 NaN 1.691003e-04 0.000578 0.001205 0.002021 0.002982 0.004152
2025-09-14 NaN 1.154090e-04 0.000517 0.001171 0.002044 0.003084 0.004362
2025-09-21 NaN 8.283772e-05 0.000486 0.001178 0.002118 0.003250 0.004648
2025-09-28 NaN 7.898736e-05 0.000511 0.001267 0.002299 0.003546 0.005090
2025-10-05 NaN 4.547756e-05 0.000462 0.001242 0.002333 0.003665 0.005324
2025-10-12 NaN 1.609591e-05 0.000397 0.001189 0.002327 0.003733 0.005497
2025-10-19 NaN 8.501636e-06 0.000390 0.001224 0.002436 0.003941 0.005835
2025-10-26 NaN 5.691581e-07 0.000356 0.001212 0.002480 0.004068 0.006076
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000289 0.001138 0.002437 0.004085 0.006185
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000252 0.001108 0.002451 0.004172 0.006375
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000194 0.001033 0.002398 0.004172 0.006459
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000170 0.001019 0.002430 0.004278 0.006669